The Treasury letter follows reports alleging Iran linked funds moved through Binance despite the exchanges 2023 compliance settlement. Binance received a letter from the US Treasury Department seekin�...
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May: Currently priced at 6.2% YES, up from 2% 24 hours ago. This suggests an increase in optimism regarding the strait’s traffic normalization by May 1...
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price predictions for May 2026 currently indicate a likelihood of decreases, with the market pricing consistent with a negative outlook. Recent developments are suggestive�...
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market sees a decrease in YES pricing, with current odds at 6.5% for June 30, 2026, down from 8% a day ago. The “Iran military action agai...
## Market Snapshot The “Balance of Power in 2026 Midterms” market is currently focused on the potential for Democratic control of both the Senate and the House. Pricing has seen a consistent tren...
## Market Snapshot “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is priced at 6.5% YES, down from 26% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, “Iran closes its airspace by May 31?” stands at 36.5% YES, down from 52%....
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin markets for May 6 and May 7 are currently priced at 99.9% YES for Bitcoin being above $66,000. WTI Crude Oil markets suggest a potential decrease in the likelihood of hitt�...
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” is currently priced at 61% YES, up from 56% in the past 24 hours. The market for “Strait of ...
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 31.5% for a YES outcome by May 31, up from 27% a day ago but down from 57% a week ago. The Strait of Hormuz Tra...
## Market Snapshot The market for the Strait of Hormuz ship transit is currently priced at 73% YES, up from 55% 24 hours ago. This reflects an increase in the likelihood of 20 ships transiting the s�...