27 September 2026
Kart-e-Char, Kabul, Afghanistan

Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

VP Vance campaigns in Iowa as GOP fears grow for 2026 midterms

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “Balance of Power in 2026 Midterms” market is currently focused on the potential for Democratic control of both the Senate and the House. Pricing has seen a consistent tren...

Explosions reported in Iran’s Hormozgan province amid US-Iran tensions

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is priced at 6.5% YES, down from 26% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, “Iran closes its airspace by May 31?” stands at 36.5% YES, down from 52%....

US-Iran deal hopes boost Bitcoin sentiment, oil market cautious

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin markets for May 6 and May 7 are currently priced at 99.9% YES for Bitcoin being above $66,000. WTI Crude Oil markets suggest a potential decrease in the likelihood of hitt�...

Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transit amid tensions

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” is currently priced at 61% YES, up from 56% in the past 24 hours. The market for “Strait of ...

Trump pauses Project Freedom amid Hormuz blockade negotiations

Crypto May 7, 2026

## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 31.5% for a YES outcome by May 31, up from 27% a day ago but down from 57% a week ago. The Strait of Hormuz Tra...

US military escorts US ships through Strait of Hormuz amid tensions

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for the Strait of Hormuz ship transit is currently priced at 73% YES, up from 55% 24 hours ago. This reflects an increase in the likelihood of 20 ships transiting the s�...

API reports significant crude draw amid Hormuz tensions, oil eyes $90 by June

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market shows a 100% YES pricing for oil hitting $90 by the end of June. The market appears to be responding to recent API reports of significant�...

Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transits

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” market is currently priced at 73% for a YES outcome. This is an increase from 55% in the previous 24 hour...

US sanctions Iranian currency exchanges, impacting oil trade with China

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market currently shows an increase in YES pricing, indicative of potential upward pressure on oil prices. Iranian Demands Trump Will Agree To mark�...

Iran missile strike on US Navy escalates tensions, potential for US response

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “US Declaration of War on Iran” market is currently priced at 8.5% for a YES outcome, up from 8% 24 hours ago. The “US Military Action in 2026” market is affected by the...