24 September 2026
Kart-e-Char, Kabul, Afghanistan

Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Mexico deploys top security officials to Sinaloa amid cartel violence escalation

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot U.S. Anti-Cartel Operation Timeline market reflects a 99.9% YES probability for an operation occurring by April 30, 2026. This is an increase from 14% seven days ago, amid escalat�...

Hezbollah rejects talks as tensions rise, impacting Israeli withdrawal odds

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, the current YES pricing stands at 8%, down from 10% a day ago. The “May 31, 2026” sub-market shows a 3% YES p...

Bitcoin open interest hits $60.9B amid geopolitical tensions

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price target markets show increased activity, with significant interest surrounding the $80,000 level for April. Current YES pricing suggests robust confidence in reaching�...

Stablecoin yield compromise boosts Bitcoin’s long-term regulatory outlook

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for Bitcoin reaching $115,000 in May 2026 is currently priced at 72% YES. Meanwhile, the market for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026, is priced at 4.3% YE�...

Strait of Hormuz closure fuels oil price surge amid global shortages

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market indicates a 100% probability of crude oil hitting $90 by the end of June. WTI Crude Oil Prices in May market currently lacks published p�...

US Treasury targets Iranian exchange houses amid rising tensions with Iran

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The prediction market for Bitcoin being above $66,000 on May 7 is priced at 99.9% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago. WTI Crude Oil prices in May are anticipated to see an increase, �...

Bitwise fund approval boosts mainstream crypto access

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price prediction markets currently indicate high confidence in price targets being met. For May 4, the markets are pricing at 99.9% YES for Bitcoin to be above $66,000. Fo�...

Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, highest since January

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s price has reached $81,000, a level not seen since January 26th. The prediction market for Bitcoin being above $66,000 on May 7 is currently at 99.9% YES, showing a slig...

Fidelity’s alleged $184M Bitcoin purchase fuels institutional interest speculation

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for Bitcoin Price Above on May 5 is currently 99.9% YES, indicating strong confidence in Bitcoin maintaining its position above $66,000. Similarly, the Bitcoin Price Pr�...

South Korean vessel fire heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions amid US-Iran standoff

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June” is currently priced with skepticism at ? YES. This reflects a consistent concern about normalization ...


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